Ohsomodest
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- Ohsomodest
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My preferred betting provider is Betfair if betting on track on the day. But I prefer to bet early when markets open, and in futures markets (with a view to laying off the stake on Betfair if the price shortens). The best options for me are Sports…
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I have been very keen on Finance Tycoon since the market opened. A little concerned that the fillies went much quicker than the boys and came home as quick. Miss Hipstar looks a great e/w bet at $17/$5.00. Gave Swift Witness 4kgs on the weekend, and…
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Neufbosc can make a race of it. He gets 6kgs off Truly Great. Looks to be re-capturing something resembling his French form, which was very good. Regarding Truly Great, I’m surprised he’s running. Whilst the Cup prizemoney is decent, I wonder about…
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Surprising that Too Close The Sun isn’t nom’d but then they do love a late nomination.
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Would D’Argento be suited here Damien? How much would you value him at?
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Always liked Hallowed Crown and, being by Street Sense and from a good female line, I thought he’d be a good chance at stud. But his numbers seem low albeit his strike rate’s OK. He’s off to Twinhills to stand at &11k: https://twitter.com/anz_ne…
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https://twitter.com/jay_rooney/status/1211505363549245440?s=21
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A report in today’s West suggests Suzuka Devious has missed work and connections don’t think he’s fit enough to contest the Perth Cup.
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Hard to see anything but Regal Power, Star Exhibit or Mississippi Delta winning. Very thin race.
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Some value in Gatting at $16 and Jericho Missile at $26 possibly
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Regarding the Kingston Town, are Tuscan Queen, Dig Deep and Kay Cee likely to make the field?
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Looks like Viridine’s coming too. Very good horse on his day albeit a rung below Trekking. Half a chance.
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I like Regal Power. Meets Samizdat 3kg better and Samizdat was third up last start whereas RP was first up. Extra distance suits. Has it been confirmed that Pike rides Tellem We’re Comin? Would’ve thought Bob might have a say in that.
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Has the stable confirmed that AR won’t go that way? Would’ve thought they’d be tempted to chase a G1 with big prizemoney in what appears likely to be a very weak edition.
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Angelic Ruler with 53kg looks a decent bet at $41/$11.
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Weights now out, but has anyone seen the order of entry? And how do they determine the order? Is it like the Melbourne Cup (i.e. based on differential from WFA benchmark for the horse’s age and sex? Or ratings or prizeminey?
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Spanish Mission, an unlucky third in the Gordon Stakes, looks a Melbourne Cup type. Owned by Earle Mack and Valor Racing so the Cup is probably in their thoughts. Has qualified and rating likely high enough to get in. Probably goes to the St Leger n…
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Looks very promising. Tough run and was still coming. Hopefully his performances are legit because the trainer has form.
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Tarwin not nom’d for the Derby surprisingly. I thought Wham ran well against Tarwin last start, producing better closing sectionals. Wham’s $101 for the Qld Derby, Tarwin was favourite until not nominated. Wham was unlucky not to win the Bendigo G…
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Regarding Supido, I think he’ll be underrated by the market. I like his pedigree. Wasn’t a superstar but nor were I Am Invincible or Snitzel.
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Supido
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Bam’s on Fire won her maiden at Benalla by 5l. Interesting to see where she runs next.
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Interesting reading, thanks Damien.
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I don’t claim to be an expert when it comes to Perth form, I focus more on Melbourne, but i’m staggered to see the market elevating handicap form (Action, MD) over WFA form (Perfect Jewel, Gatting and StarExhibit). I would’ve thought Perfect Jewel s…
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9.1% is exceptional. Yes, 5% is good.
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What’s his SW/R running at Tivers?
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On handicapping, can anyone shed light on why Invictus Prince, who ran second to Winx (beating home D’Argento and Kementari) was given a handicap of 77 on landing here? If Racing Post is any guide it seems his rating in Europe was 100 at 5/8/17: htt…
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The Big Show $41 (race 7) and Lenience $67 (race 8) look like big overs.
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Spirit of Boom is very interesting. Looks like double Danehill is no problem for him. Inbreeding to Without Fear has had some success. Also note that a couple of his good ones carry Special, a full sister to Thatch, and SOB carries 2 lines of Thatch.
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What phantom selections did you pick Damien? Thoughts on Lot 11?