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TheDivaTheDiva    13,248 posts
edited November -1 West Australian Racing
Just the 12 runners for this race - will wait for TAB Sportsbet to put a market up but anticipating that Delta Gee, Admiring and Brava Fortune will be fighting it out for favoritism from Cassandara Shadow, Full Moon and Jewelled - hard to see anything else figuring.

No. Horse Bl St Br Wgt Rtg Rider Trainer
1 BRAVA FORTUNE B 4 55 82 BRAD PARNHAM NEVILLE PARNHAM
2 CASSANDARA SHADOW(NZ) 7 55 72 TROY TURNER SHANE EDWARDS
3 DELTA GEE 12 55 76 JASON WHITING MICHAEL GRANT
4 ADMIRING 3 55 70 PAUL HARVEY MICHAEL GRANT
5 FULL MOON(NZ) 10 55 67 DANNY O'BRIEN
6 BERMAISE B 2 55 58 NEVILLE PARNHAM
7 OFFER ME JEWELS 6 55 59 RUSSELL STEWART SPENCER KNIGHT
8 I AM LUCKY 8 55 61 ALANA WILLIAMS DAVID HARRISON
9 JEWELLED(NZ) B 11 55 63 ADAM DURRANT
10 LADY JEUMONT(NZ) 1 55 61 LUCAS CAMILLERI LINDSEY SMITH
11 COLLECTING B 9 55 58 HEC MC LAREN
12 MISS EL GUERROUJ 5 55 59 SHAUN O'DONNELL ROSS PRICE
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Comments

  • TheDivaTheDiva    13,248 posts
    Very disappointing how this race has fallen away.
    +1 -1
  • LuckyLongshotsLuckyLongshots    4,270 posts
    Brava Fortune for me, great run last start giving a lot of weight to 1st/2nd, level weights here and seems to have improved as the distances got longer.
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  • TheDivaTheDiva    13,248 posts
    Some History

    Year Horse Trainer Jockey Weight Price Bar Time Last 600m
    2008 Grand Journey D Brideoake W Pike 55 $1.50 1 2.28.76 35.77
    2007 Westerly Breeze S Edwards W Pike 55 $3.40 1 2.28.75 36.15
    2006 Moodometer S Wolfe S McGruddy 55 $3.30 7 2.32.34 37.23
    2005 Royal Drive P Miller J Noske 55 $3.60 1 2.33.80 37.66
    2004 Fatal Attraction L Smith P Harvey 55 $9.00 2 2.30.13 36.47
    2003 Superior Star N Parnham P Harvey 55 $3.00 4 2.35.37 39.02
    2002 Honor Lap G Daly P King 55 $4.50 7 2.32.73 35.74
    2000 Old Money L Smith J Brown 54 $7.50 3 2.30.37 37.33
    1999 Reflected Image G Harper P Harvey 54 $3.20 12 2.30.02 36.68
    1998 Matriculate G Webster Snr M Sestich 54 $2.20 4 2.33.20 35.62
    1997 Mystic Chantry K Adams P King 54 $3.20 3 2.32.31 36.96


    3 of last 4 winners have come from barrier 1 with William Pike riding the last two of them, favorites also have a very high strike rate of success.
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  • StaticStatic    276 posts
    Looking at the history of this race, the field dropped off since year 2000. None of the winners since have done anything, Honor Lap went on to win the Derby but that was it. Superior Star, can hardly remember this horse?
    Royal Drive, Westerly Breeze, and you wonder why this race is only group 3 status.

    Brava Fortune my tip :D
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  • RhinoRhino    208 posts
    westerly breeze was injured in the cup, not really her fault she never went on with it....
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  • TheDivaTheDiva    13,248 posts
    I like the turn of foot of Delta Gee. Brava Fortune just seems to be plugging away and I feel will be left behind again when the sprint goes on
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  • MightAndPowerMightAndPower    4,148 posts
    im fairly confident Dell's 3 predicted favourites will definitely trifecta the race..Brava/Delta/Admiring boxed.

    Reckon Brava might win it though...
    +1 -1
  • dungydungy    9,278 posts
    Nothing that finished behind Delta and Admiring in the Natasha will finish in front of them in the Oaks ,Grant stable quinella and maybe the Zabeel filly Jewelled from Durrants stable but hard to see her winning a Bunbury maiden then onto an Oaks but will run the trip and is trained by ADurrant i dont rckon its a bad Oaks to be honest 4/5 chances on paper last few years there has only been 2 in the market .
    my market approx
    Delta Gee 2.90
    Admiring 4.50
    Jewelled 6.00
    Brava Fortune 7.50
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  • Famous1Famous1    551 posts
    Delta Gee to relish the extra distance... if it can get a nice sit.... about sixth... 1 off the fence...

    Jewelled is bred to stay all day though
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  • TorpedoPuntTorpedoPunt    1,891 posts
    Old Money :)
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  • dungydungy    9,278 posts
    What do mean by Old $$ Torpy
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  • TheSwooperTheSwooper    1,718 posts
    I was impressed with Delta Gees turn of foot last start.

    Jewelled is the interesting runner however. Both of her runs have been excellent and she is a magnificent looking horse (to my untrained eye anyway).

    Does anyone know if her prep has always been targetted this way or if she was late getting going due to any issues?
    +1 -1
  • dungydungy    9,278 posts
    Being by Zabeel you would think they have looked at Oaks/Derby but have cut if very fine 3rd up in an Oaks mmmmmm
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  • TiversTivers    7,720 posts
    If Delta is ok and hasn't missed too much work etc (from the dog attack) she will win untouched.
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  • wotsupwotsup    424 posts
    all riders now posted on CRIS for this race.
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  • actionaction    66 posts
    Dog attack???
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  • Unknown
    said:

    Looking at the history of this race, the field dropped off since year 2000. None of the winners since have done anything, Honor Lap went on to win the Derby but that was it. Superior Star, can hardly remember this horse?Royal Drive, Westerly Breeze, and you wonder why this race is only group 3 status.

    Brava Fortune my tip :D

    S Star went on and won the Singapore Gold Cup, Laurie Laxon says it was one of the better stayers he has prepared.
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  • thedrinkerthedrinker    58 posts
    everyones gotta come in for LUCKYS hat trick so the winner will be I AM LUCKY .
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  • thedrinkerthedrinker    58 posts
    cmon LUCKY do it for us LUCKY
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  • tonytony    2,436 posts
    TAB Sportsbet Market

    ADMIRING 34804 4.80 1.82
    BERMAISE 34806 61.00 13.97
    BRAVA FORTUNE 34801 4.40 1.73
    CASSANDARA SHADOW 34802 8.50 2.62
    COLLECTING 34811 61.00 13.97
    DELTA GEE 34803 3.80 1.60
    FULL MOON 34805 7.00 2.29
    I AM LUCKY 34808 26.00 6.40
    JEWELLED 34809 7.50 2.40
    LADY JEUMONT 34810 26.00 6.40
    MISS EL GUERROUJ 34812 31.00 7.48
    OFFER ME JEWELS 34807 81.00 18.29
    +1 -1
  • madmacsmadmacs    58 posts
    said:

    Brava Fortune for me, great run last start giving a lot of weight to 1st/2nd, level weights here and seems to have improved as the distances got longer.

    i agree totally
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  • aaronaprilaaronapril    25 posts
    What about Full Moon? If she makes it to WA in decent fettle, she might be in the mix. Beat Berlioz at Bendigo and that one performed nicely in the Melvista. Surely a strong formline here against same sex???
    +1 -1
  • LuckyLongshotsLuckyLongshots    4,270 posts
    said:

    What about Full Moon? If she makes it to WA in decent fettle, she might be in the mix. Beat Berlioz at Bendigo and that one performed nicely in the Melvista. Surely a strong formline here against same sex???

    On that, she is a good chance, my only issue is that she carried 2.5kgs less than Berlioz and only just held on over 2200m - but she should be thereabouts without doubt!
    +1 -1
  • LuckyLongshotsLuckyLongshots    4,270 posts
    said:

    She's was a filly against the colt, so she was entitled to have less weight. If she ran in the Derby, she'd get the same allowance off the colts there too.

    Yes, I noticed that - I still think she won't be in the first four - I will eat humble pie if she is - but she will be thereabouts.
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  • squid69squid69    1,434 posts
    I'd better put my hand up as the one who picked Miss El Guerrouj on the poll.

    Mainly the SOD connection with fillies, first prep and has had a run over a distance now. Not far behind some handy horses previously.

    Looking at it, really clutching at straws trying to find a reason.

    Will be backing Brava Fortune, with a little saver on MEG.
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  • Famous1Famous1    551 posts
    Delta for me
    im annoyed my quaddie lost by a nose :(
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  • RodentRodent    7,446 posts
    I was on Cassandara Shadow for a fortune last start and it did SFA :x
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  • RodentRodent    7,446 posts
    edited April 2009
    It appeared as though Brava Fortune may have run in and contacted Jewelled to cause the fall. I'm wondering if Cassandara Shadow caused it by laying in. I hope the horses and riders are ok.
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  • RelicRelic    28 posts
    Can anyone tell me if fallers are ok?
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  • Famous1Famous1    551 posts
    said:

    Brava Fortune ran in and contacted Jewelled to cause the fall. I'm wondering if Cassandara Shadow caused it by laying in. I hope the horses and riders are ok.

    Delta Gee down too i think
    +1 -1
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