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- AbbysAce July 2015
- Chariotsonfire July 2015
- Chris July 2015
- Gilgamesh July 2015
- JayJay July 2015
- MorganJames July 2015
- nosoup4u July 2015
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GP 10th July.
Harness & Greyhounds
R1: No1 Sprinter does look the obvious leader and winner but leave me out at the $1.25. I've been really taken by the last two runs of No7 Natural Disaster, I think he can drop out early and run past a lot of them. $3 a place is attractive to me. No2 Mister Versace will drop straight in behind the leader and just has to match it's first run to be a massive top 3 chance. If the odds are right I'll be having a decent go at these 3 in the Quin and having them as standouts in tris for varied units.
R2: I don't have a firm opinion in this, the $5 and $1.50 that was initially available Zenart would have been attractive for a 1 by 2 bet as I think he is loaded with talent, wether talent alone will get him past the stable mate with the ground he is likely to be looking to make up time will tell.
R3: I initially thought No8 Snappy Rufus could get across to the breeze easily and run a massive race. After reassessing I just don’t know that he can settle over the trip. Avalon Bromac isn’t one of my favourites and I see him having to do a fair bit in the run with Snappy Rufus being in the dominant position. In this class he could go 3 wide solo and win it but it will be without me. I’m really liking the backline. I see them all getting to the fence and getting super soft runs, gaps opening up and all of them weaving and dive bombing late. I will be backing the one out of 10,11,12 that is paying the most and maybe playing the novelties them beating the 8 and 9 exactas if the odds look good.
R4: The new Hall runner No11 Cyamach has competed against some very good ones. Doesn’t guarantee anything but be good to see it go around. I wouldn’t be backing anything else in the race or it on speck.
R5: I would think Jay Bees Grin should be letting Onedin Crusader across to maximise its chance to earn. I don’t know that I’ve ever backed a K Sheehy winner but I’m willing to have a go here.I know the stable have declared their intention to lead with the 1 but I really think that the lead is Onedins and the race is his for the taking. Happy to have a go at the $6. A lot of junior drivers in this, sometimes that leads to carnage. There are some horses in this that are flying but if they did happen to go mad I think Hez The Bartman could pull one out of the blue.
R6: Rightly or wrongly the Hall camp have declared there intentions to try and lead with Soho Highroller. It certainly adds interest to the race. Can he hold David Hercules? Does Morgan just come out evenly and rate Herc in the breeze? Mike Reed said he wanted to try and get a forward spot with Libertybelle Midfrew as well. For me at the $8.50 on Sportsbet you have to back No5 My Hard Copy EW. I see him possibly ending up 1 out 2 back coiled up with electric sprint ready to charge. He will definitely get his chance and is a massive play at the EW odds.
R7: Only 5 fillies going around now but some talent amongst them. No1 Dodolicious is the obvious stand out choice as it looks to be the leader. Sheer Rocknroll looks likely to have to breeze in this and I can’t see it getting over Dodo doing that. I'm a big wrap for Dame Puissant, should get to see it in the 1,1 following Sheer Rocknroll. If the price is right I may have a little on the dame to topple the Dodo, will need some speed on but I’m expecting a massive sprint.
R8: Am loving how Lies A Lot has been going and am expecting to go even better with a sit. To me there is no obvious leader here so that should help with some speed for the 11 and drawn one of the fence she should be in a great spot. Can't believe there was $26 available and $18 is still available.
R9: No3 That’s Rite and No4 Glenferrie Rustler look to be the ones vying for the lead. I think Glenferrie can actually get across and even if he can’t I think he can sit outside the 3 and beat him. Will be backing him in at the $4 with 365 as I just think he has a bit of a class edge.
R10: Good luck to all.
The quad saved my night last week and I think the early quad might be worth a go1,2,7/1,8/9,10,11,12/11. $24 for the unit.
Good luck to anyone having a go, looking forward to an enjoyable night as I'm pretty confident of getting a good sight from my selections.
R2: I don't have a firm opinion in this, the $5 and $1.50 that was initially available Zenart would have been attractive for a 1 by 2 bet as I think he is loaded with talent, wether talent alone will get him past the stable mate with the ground he is likely to be looking to make up time will tell.
R3: I initially thought No8 Snappy Rufus could get across to the breeze easily and run a massive race. After reassessing I just don’t know that he can settle over the trip. Avalon Bromac isn’t one of my favourites and I see him having to do a fair bit in the run with Snappy Rufus being in the dominant position. In this class he could go 3 wide solo and win it but it will be without me. I’m really liking the backline. I see them all getting to the fence and getting super soft runs, gaps opening up and all of them weaving and dive bombing late. I will be backing the one out of 10,11,12 that is paying the most and maybe playing the novelties them beating the 8 and 9 exactas if the odds look good.
R4: The new Hall runner No11 Cyamach has competed against some very good ones. Doesn’t guarantee anything but be good to see it go around. I wouldn’t be backing anything else in the race or it on speck.
R5: I would think Jay Bees Grin should be letting Onedin Crusader across to maximise its chance to earn. I don’t know that I’ve ever backed a K Sheehy winner but I’m willing to have a go here.I know the stable have declared their intention to lead with the 1 but I really think that the lead is Onedins and the race is his for the taking. Happy to have a go at the $6. A lot of junior drivers in this, sometimes that leads to carnage. There are some horses in this that are flying but if they did happen to go mad I think Hez The Bartman could pull one out of the blue.
R6: Rightly or wrongly the Hall camp have declared there intentions to try and lead with Soho Highroller. It certainly adds interest to the race. Can he hold David Hercules? Does Morgan just come out evenly and rate Herc in the breeze? Mike Reed said he wanted to try and get a forward spot with Libertybelle Midfrew as well. For me at the $8.50 on Sportsbet you have to back No5 My Hard Copy EW. I see him possibly ending up 1 out 2 back coiled up with electric sprint ready to charge. He will definitely get his chance and is a massive play at the EW odds.
R7: Only 5 fillies going around now but some talent amongst them. No1 Dodolicious is the obvious stand out choice as it looks to be the leader. Sheer Rocknroll looks likely to have to breeze in this and I can’t see it getting over Dodo doing that. I'm a big wrap for Dame Puissant, should get to see it in the 1,1 following Sheer Rocknroll. If the price is right I may have a little on the dame to topple the Dodo, will need some speed on but I’m expecting a massive sprint.
R8: Am loving how Lies A Lot has been going and am expecting to go even better with a sit. To me there is no obvious leader here so that should help with some speed for the 11 and drawn one of the fence she should be in a great spot. Can't believe there was $26 available and $18 is still available.
R9: No3 That’s Rite and No4 Glenferrie Rustler look to be the ones vying for the lead. I think Glenferrie can actually get across and even if he can’t I think he can sit outside the 3 and beat him. Will be backing him in at the $4 with 365 as I just think he has a bit of a class edge.
R10: Good luck to all.
The quad saved my night last week and I think the early quad might be worth a go1,2,7/1,8/9,10,11,12/11. $24 for the unit.
Good luck to anyone having a go, looking forward to an enjoyable night as I'm pretty confident of getting a good sight from my selections.
Comments
Hasn't been ebjoyable watching for me so far. Nosed out of the tri in the first, horse didn't go as well as I thought it would unfortunately.
Barrow Street draws to get the beautiful soft run on the pegs which is absolutely the place to be at the moment but they drag him back and lead up the 3 wide line, complete opposite!
Then Onedin gets 3 quarters across, would have liked to see her almost tap him up before the mobile sped off. Then Jnr does that on a NOTED SIT SPRINT horse who has shown he only has a 400m at best sprint when there is a NOTED BREEZE horse. He has been doing that far too much lately, when he just rated Cyamach 3 wide I was wrapped because I thought something had clicked with him but no. All he did there was destroy his chances, Onedin Crusaders chances and Jaybes Grin's chances.
He has to be asked what was he thinking and the answer needs to be more than they were going too slow. Even if he got across to the lead he would have stopped because that horse just can't sustain a sprint like that.
Seriously though how good is My Hard Copy, that was just amazing.
Gilgamesh dislikes this post.
How did Kim "get the job done " Prentice give his horse every chance to fill his best possible placing...
All he did was drive his horse to beat David Hercules...
To a point I can side with Snr with his thoughts that if he just handed up with Soho Highroller he was no chance of beating. You have to just look at each horse in isolation though, was Soho Highroller any chance of running anywhere in that race not handing up? Probably not.
There is no doubt that it was in the best interests of the stable but that is not the rule.
I am another that virtually does not bet when these circumstances exist.
Notabadexcuse keeping out Erskine Range a few weeks back was in the exact same category.
There are so called experts around that claim the WA Pacing Cup was the grand circuit race of the season. I had to shake my head just writting that comment, just thinking of the race makes me angry/disgusted and in a way even sad. The race was destroyed, Herc was destroyed.
I'm not deluded, I see the massive problem. I watched the pacing cup with some people that love the punt and a couple that through friends who have had shares in a couple of reasonable earners who are no longer racing. I'd love to get that group together in a horse but there is no way I could get them into one now. We use to head out about once a month but they haven't been out since.
I have a feeling though the Hall camp would still try to argue that they were driving Torretto to try and win. That if they let David Hercules dictate there is no way TORRETTO could beat him. The problem is there was no way Torretto could beat him anyhow!!!! Like this and in the case of last nights race the stewarding is at fault. They need a strong form analysist so when things like this happen they stamp it out. It doesnt happen.
Just because a camp puts so much money in does not give them the right to do as they please, unfortunately the powers that be don't seem to think that way. I don't really blame the camp, I get angry when jnr drives a race like he did on Why Live Dangerously because I think he is a bloody good driver but of course it is going to happen if no one is pulling them in to line.
I watched the race again and David was on the surface disappointing...struggled a bit in the straight. The breeze might have returned to it's old moniker of the "death seat". I may be wrong but I recall Harold Park had a lot of camber on the turns and the death seat there was indeed the death seat.
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It seems the little guy now has no show of winning M class races BUT the last race for example was there to be won. There are double prize money westbred C0's. They are trying something. Someone to breed some nice horse that race on to over 4 would be good
Gilgamesh likes this post.
Is this the same horse that was driven to its best advantage by holding out David Hercules???????
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