Chris
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Race 5: SWAN DRAUGHT HANDICAP (CL1 1100m)The AnalysisRipper Rupert is a promising 3YO who fits our criteria perfectly. He has a 60% place strike rate (1-1-1 from 5 starts) and a rating of 61. He won his maiden at Kalgoorlie by hitting the line hard …
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Race 8: TABTOUCH - STARSTRUCK CLASSIC (1600m)The Analysis:(2) MACHINE GUN GRACIE returns from a spell. While resuming at 1600m is often a query, her record at Ascot is phenomenal (3 wins from 4 starts). She is a high-class stayer in the making (Oaks…
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Summary of Best BetsConfidenceHorseRaceEst. PriceBest Bet (3 Units)LADY KIKIR2$2.40High (2 Units)THANK GODR1$3.20High (2 Units)HURRICANE HARLEYR5$3.00High (2 Units)SHAZAIRR7$3.80Medium (1.5 Units)XELCIMUSR3$4.50Medium (1.5 Units)CLASSIC ROGUER6$6.50…
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Race 4: BRYSON CANVAS MAIDEN (1300m)The AnalysisViva Marconi has been costly for punters, but the numbers don't lie. He ran a stiff second at Geraldton last start when driven to lead, and prior to that was competitive at York. He has the speed to cr…
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Summary of Best BetsConfidenceHorseRaceUnitsBEST BET(1) BRAVE VENTURERace 63.0HIGH(10) THE NUNRace 12.0HIGH(2) OISINRace 42.0MEDIUM(6) WHY SHE STAYEDRace 21.5MEDIUM(2) BRAVE APACHERace 51.5MEDIUM(1) TOURETTORace 71.5A BET(1) MACHO ARQUERORace 31.0A …
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Race 6: WITTENS IRRIGATION AND DESIGN HANDICAP (1000m)The Analysis:This is the best bet of the day. (1) BRAVE VENTURE resumes here with a massive class advantage (Rating 74). He has to carry 61kg on paper, but the engagement of Zephen Johnston-Porte…
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Race 3: GLENROY CHAFF MAIDEN (1800m)The Analysis:A midweek maiden over 1800m is usually a "stay out" zone, but (1) MACHO ARQUERO looks ready to peak. He has placed in 3 of his last 5 runs and is rock hard fit. His recent 2nd at Pinjarra over 2000m w…
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Race 10: Bet Loop Handicap (1000m)The Analysis:We finish with a sprint where Richanco looks poised to strike. He is a winning machine with 6 wins from 11 starts (81% place rate). He is unbeaten first-up (3 from 3) and looked sharp winning a recent t…
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Race 7: Schweppes Handicap (1400m)The Analysis:I'm looking closely at Our Paladin Al here. He resumes today but boasts an impressive 83% strike rate (5 placings from 6 starts). He flies fresh and has trialled well. If he is anywhere near his top, he…
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Race 4: Quayclean Plate (1000m)The Analysis:This is a race where class should prevail. Castle Road drops back to his own age group after a gallant effort in the Listed Placid Ark Stakes where he led and was only overhauled late. He boasts a 54% stri…
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AI is travelling no better
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Winning More: Summary of Best BetsRaceHorseStakeConfidencePrice (Est)R2Lady Coco3 UnitsBest Bet$2.40R3Deadly And Fast2 UnitsHigh$4.20R7Questioneverything2 UnitsHigh$2.80R4Secret Stones1.5 UnitsMedium$6.50R5Red Top1.5 UnitsMedium$3.50R1Sea Of Galilee…
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Race 7: TABTOUCH BETTER YOUR BET HANDICAP (1232m)We finish with a progressive type. Questioneverything has started twice for a win and a second (100% place rate). The win last start at this track was arrogant. He rises in weight but looks to have ge…
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Race 5: LITTLE CREATURES HANDICAP (1500m)This is the race of the day. We have two absolute standout "Fifty Percenters" clashing. Red Top (71% place rate) is a serious animal. He carries 63.5kg which is a concern, but his class edge is undeniable, an…
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Race 4: CELEBRATE BOXING DAY AT THE ARC HANDICAP (1100m)My original ratings pointed to De Grandhomme (60% place rate), but his Soft track stats (8:0-0-1) are a flashing red light on a Soft 5. Instead, I’m pivoting to Secret Stones. This gelding is a…
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Jokers onto the Gold Rush...
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Summary of Updated Best BetsRaceHorseConfidence RatingStakePriceRace 3(5) SOUND OF SPEEDBEST BET3.0 Units$2.30Race 7(3) TRUE BLUE BONDIHigh2.0 Units$3.30Race 4(12) PONY UPHigh2.0 Units$3.20Race 5(2) MT SHIRATAKUHigh2.0 Units$2.75Race 1(4) VIRESHAMed…
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Summary of SelectionsHere are the confidence ratings clearly listed for today's meeting at Belmont:RaceHorseConfidence RatingStakeMarket PriceRace 3(5) SOUND OF SPEEDBest Bet3.0 Units$1.95Race 2(8) SUNSET SESSIONHigh2.0 Units$2.15Race 5(2) MT SHIRAT…
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Race 7: Class 3 (1400m)The Analysis:We close the card with (3) TRUE BLUE BONDI. He returned to racing with a very solid 2nd in this grade (Class 3 C&G) at Belmont two weeks ago. He strips fitter for that run, retains Pike, and maps to get the ru…
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Race 4: Class 1 (1650m)The Analysis:This is the most fascinating race of the day. We have two fillies, (12) PONY UP and (11) KAZANA, dropping from the Group 3 Champion Fillies Stakes into a midweek Class 1. That is a gargantuan drop in class. While …
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Hot potato
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It’s on song today
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Based on the review of the Ascot meeting (Saturday, 29 November 2025), I made two specific alterations to my handicapping model for this Pinjarra meeting:Speed Map Weighting Increase:Observation: The Ascot track played significantly in favor of hors…
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Summary of Best BetsDIAMOND (Best Bet): R2 DON'T WINK ($2.35)DIAMOND (Next Best): R7 I'M NIPOTE ($9.00)GOLD: R5 MACHO ARQUERO ($4.20)GOLD: R6 FREEDOM ESCAPE ($13.00)GOLD: R9 AMAZING CHEAT ($14.00)SILVER: R1 HURRICANE HARLEY ($4.80)SILVER: R8 LATE AR…
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Race 7: ALCOA-BUILDING STRONG COMMUNITIES HANDICAP (2000m)The Analysis:I'M NIPOTE is rated 66 in a race with a minimum rating of 50, creating a massive class mismatch. He’s placed in Westspeed Platinum and CL5 races at Ascot recently. The 62kg is a …
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Race 4: SUNDAY DEC 21 MAIDEN (1300m)The Analysis:A low-confidence race with many runners resuming. XELCIMUS put in an eye-catching 4th at Northam followed by a solid 2nd at Belmont. He has the advantage of race fitness over SEVEN CANDLES, who resume…
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went from Bustling to Busted
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Race 6: RTG 58+ Handicap (1230m)The AnalysisSECRET STONES is ready to peak third-up. He flashed home for a narrow 2nd (beaten 0.1L) at this track over 1100m last start. The step up to 1230m is ideal for him. He meets a field where the class runner, …
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Race 1: ACTIVE PLUMBING MAIDEN (1407m)The Play: A high-confidence anchor for the meeting. God's Grin brings superior provincial form (Bunbury/Northam) to this country maiden and the market reflects his dominance.HorsePriceAnalysisStrategy7. GOD'S GR…
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Looks like others think the same