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I don't like Magnifisio at all to be honest. I think Smoko is a 2 length better horse at level weights.
I'll back the Sujet/Smoko double heavily.
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me neither, but I still think he will win.. Crossing Rouge Dior??? think he will run his own race at his own tempo and account for Rouge Dior whether he stays one out or crsosses.
But that is why I like Dueton..to sit off them and be the best to be taking ground off Smoko.
I will back Dueton to place with a small saver on the win, and the above quinella and tri's... Dueton at a place is better than Smoko for a win and I am confident of both of them....That should see them end up last and second last!!!!
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is she your horse ?
If she were mine I would be giving her ago at the upcoming WFA program in summer.
Something along the lines of Prince of Wales, Lee Steere (1400m) ? and finish with the Winterbottom.
14 weeks to the P of W - plenty of time to let her have good break and get her up again
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Nothing wrong with her.
Lots of nice mares races over summer.
And she can make a lot more in one race than she will in a whole breeding season.
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Yes would be my answer, but over 1200....but not sure about listed or group
there is no clear path to the top.
perth racing tops before 'black type' begins, is basically a 78+ or more usually 72+
the so called 'black type' handicaps start at 90+
that's at least 6kg between the normal and the start of the 'black type', and it's just to much difference.
just by coincidence, tonight i have been looking at the weights carried by your average 'black type' handicap winner.
there had been about 23 90+ races since the last template change.
11 of them have been won by horses on the limit weight.
the reason for that, is because horses just like pininci often win, and then they get huge rating increases, which are not deserved, because those races are not as strong as the handicappers think they are.
so they have the rating and thus the weight, but mostly the rating is a nonsense and they can't keep going. thus those on the limit will keep on winning disproportionately.
and it's a never ending circle.
as an example pininci was a 77 before today, but the race was supposedly a 96+, so if the handicapper follows his normal nonsense pininci will go to 99 or so.
this means that horses he would have met on level terms yesterday, he now has to give 11 kg to!!!
and i am guessing that if he reads this it will probably be less, but whatever it will be too much.
does anybody really believe pininci is that good?
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Not sure that it is the RBT - but more so the programming.
Need a lot more 82 - 85 races -
As it stands now, I would select the hottest stallion in the sales ring and just cover her whilst she has some great years in front of her.