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If you're a breeder looking for commercial success, you're hoping like hell for early winners from runners from Stallions your breeding to (IE: Oratorio). Hence he brings the biggest prices locally.
If you're a potential owner looking for longevity from a purchase - skip right ahead to the next track.
The stats would surely show that 2yo's just don't go on with it, name me one locally (the freak Bomber Bill aside) that has.
Actually let me get bouyant here, look at the last 20 Golden Slipper winners. Sure Colts get thrown into Stud duties possibly before their time, mares too, but gee if you are purely looking at success long term, racing a 2yo before full development is arguably achieved is in no way a good long term prospect
Chances of this happening are nil.
I have never raced a 2 year old, have prepped a number of them and then put em back in the paddock even if they showed they were "up to it".
Was that the right thing to do? Could they have been successful as 2 yr olds on the track? I will never know.
What I do know is that most of them don't have success as 3,4 or 5 year olds.
I'm starting to take a different view. These 2 year olds that race and perform well may never have performed well as older horses anyway - there is no way of knowing. Maybe those 2yr olds that appeared "up to it" should have gone around.
Some sort of benchmark could be set by an industry group (reps from trainers, owners, jocks,animal welfare groups and industry admin etc) where as a 2 yr old has to trial twice competitively -(i.e must finish within a certain time over a 1000m twice within a month) before it can race.
Just a thought ........
I agree it won't happen when the big bucks are being offered for 2yo races!
A couple of successful 2yo's who haven't gone on with it in recent years are Miss Condition, Motion Pictures and Time To Climb (not sure if they have suffered injuries etc) but all three have earned very good money as 2yo's but their 3yo seasons were quite poor.
:shock:
Surely there is nothing much wrong with the current system re 2yo racing.
Those that want the early success and early return buy those more precocious types, and those that want there horses racing longer into their career will also buy accordingly.
But i think you would be negligent in your operations if you were a trainer and did not at least have a look at running them as 2yos, even just educate them and be easy on them if thats you're thing.
But the money and incentives on offer are pretty hard to refuse when you look at the cost of buying, and maintaining racehorses.
i am not saying they are "hooking" them..thats the worse thing you can do to a baby.
I know he's had his fair share of injuries too so you can't be too hard on him.
Gold rocks is another name that comes to mind. 3 wins as a 2 year old but only 1 win and 1 place since. Maybe it was the trip over east that upset her somewhat.
Food for thought (maybe at the IGA)