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- dungy February 2011
- knowmeform February 2011
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- TheDarkHorse February 2011
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Friday GP 4th of February
Harness & Greyhounds
knowmeform
23 posts
Dark horse what is DC??? you don't know me lol and if you do please do not disclose my identity haha
here are the expert tips for friday night trots
race 1: Seel and Print (would like to watch it first up but the horse just looks to well placed from the draw. If I was confident that Sexy Beast would get around the track untroubled I would be picking it to win but not at this stage.
race 2: Legislate ( steadily improving after its lengthy break and hopefully will one day find the ability he showed when he first came to WA)
race 3: Idolize me ( should work to the front much easier than if did at northam when it was successful and has the draw advantage over To Transcend which is the horse with the most ability in the race)
race 4: Reddas Last ( represents good eachway value for punters in this event, has been racing collectively better classed pacers of late and has had tricky draws. Drawn slightly better here and if Tilly who has been driving very well can lob him in a forward position look for him to be right in the finish and in doing so bringing up a race to race driving double for a very deserving Peter Tilbrook.
Race 5: Country Change ( will work to the front after 100m and stack them up for a dash home. Represents a good drive for the Butt-Boy )
Race 6: Alzona ( looks very hard to toss in the small field and is a proven standing start performer unlike Motu Treasure who is a big watch having its first standing start. Motu treasure and Alzona both have sensational bursts of speed so with a safe start to both horses it should be a good battle to who can take the initiative and make its move first leaving the other to chase it down )
Race 7: Aussie Reactor ( I can see a little bit of pace going on early in this event with a horse like Can Return Fire possibly going to zap them out of the gate. AR should be able to drop out of this early from his bad draw and if he can reproduce the tough effort he showed last start and his solid runs before that he should be a prominent player.
Race 8: Barleys Hope ( I am Hoping :P that BH secures a good run in the trailing position behind Pacific Jaccka who has good speed from the machine. If she secures this position I think she will give a good sight with a bit of luck in running)
Race 9 : Helena Street ( Relax, I know you will be thinking this tipster is mad!!! lol The horse was racing well last time it was in work and if managed to find the front or was prominent in the sprint stand, it could provide a little bit of cheek at what should be decent odds. Trialled well recently and has been given time to recover from its fibralation. Worth a ticket eachway. Conte Centovalli does look tough to beat.
Race 10: Betta Crusa ( very difficult race but Hubba is a gem and I will pick him on that basis and the fact he is drawn to get a soft run whilst the favourite Red Success, I am hoping will be trapped wide and have to do a little too much work. I think the safest bet would be the bar for a night closer )
Punters you have prayed and I have delivered :P
here are the expert tips for friday night trots
race 1: Seel and Print (would like to watch it first up but the horse just looks to well placed from the draw. If I was confident that Sexy Beast would get around the track untroubled I would be picking it to win but not at this stage.
race 2: Legislate ( steadily improving after its lengthy break and hopefully will one day find the ability he showed when he first came to WA)
race 3: Idolize me ( should work to the front much easier than if did at northam when it was successful and has the draw advantage over To Transcend which is the horse with the most ability in the race)
race 4: Reddas Last ( represents good eachway value for punters in this event, has been racing collectively better classed pacers of late and has had tricky draws. Drawn slightly better here and if Tilly who has been driving very well can lob him in a forward position look for him to be right in the finish and in doing so bringing up a race to race driving double for a very deserving Peter Tilbrook.
Race 5: Country Change ( will work to the front after 100m and stack them up for a dash home. Represents a good drive for the Butt-Boy )
Race 6: Alzona ( looks very hard to toss in the small field and is a proven standing start performer unlike Motu Treasure who is a big watch having its first standing start. Motu treasure and Alzona both have sensational bursts of speed so with a safe start to both horses it should be a good battle to who can take the initiative and make its move first leaving the other to chase it down )
Race 7: Aussie Reactor ( I can see a little bit of pace going on early in this event with a horse like Can Return Fire possibly going to zap them out of the gate. AR should be able to drop out of this early from his bad draw and if he can reproduce the tough effort he showed last start and his solid runs before that he should be a prominent player.
Race 8: Barleys Hope ( I am Hoping :P that BH secures a good run in the trailing position behind Pacific Jaccka who has good speed from the machine. If she secures this position I think she will give a good sight with a bit of luck in running)
Race 9 : Helena Street ( Relax, I know you will be thinking this tipster is mad!!! lol The horse was racing well last time it was in work and if managed to find the front or was prominent in the sprint stand, it could provide a little bit of cheek at what should be decent odds. Trialled well recently and has been given time to recover from its fibralation. Worth a ticket eachway. Conte Centovalli does look tough to beat.
Race 10: Betta Crusa ( very difficult race but Hubba is a gem and I will pick him on that basis and the fact he is drawn to get a soft run whilst the favourite Red Success, I am hoping will be trapped wide and have to do a little too much work. I think the safest bet would be the bar for a night closer )
Punters you have prayed and I have delivered :P
Comments
Race 1.
3. SEEL N PRINT (NZ Import who has shown gate speed from the replays over there, In the powerful G.Bond stables and looks well placed here hard to beat)
4. OUR DEZZY MAC (Has developed into a nice type, still has a few problems with his gear but is a good each way chance in this race - Reasonably tough and should run a good race - Forget its last run after galloping after the first 300m)
7. SCOT BAY (Disappointing run at Bunbury when 4th to Who Thru Teddy but decimated his opposition in a weaker lineup at Harvey last saturday - Is a classy horse but is still yet to break 2.00.0 for 2100m (Winning M/R) and from the wide draw will find it tough but still has to be respected on his record)
12. MISS BAYPOINT (Form has been average since resuming from a spell - Won a trial at Pinjarra doing it tough in the breeze and looked to have turned the corner - Probably novelty chance in this decent field)
Race 2.
12. LEGISLATE (Strong run last start after galloping from the stand and still finishing 3rd - Been enigmatic this campaign but back in the day he was very good and looks to be working back to that - This looks his race on Paper)
3. THATS AMBITIOUS (Beaten a long way when 4th to Kamwood Holmes last Friday - Hard to catch this horse as a punting proposition but he should find the front in this race and could be the one hardest to catch)
1. CAPELIGHT (Nearing a win - Form has been solid off the soft trip and should get another soft run here and figure in the finish - Exotics specialist)
5. JOSHUAS REIGN (Talented horse who has the ability but is as they say a "Wooly Woofter" who doesn't find the line - Place chance in this company - Busselton form has been solid, big step up in class)
Race 3.
10. TO TRANSCEND (Form super since arriving in WA, Super run in the Harvey Cup last Saturday when 5th to Lombo Navigator - Awkward Draw but just needs to get off the rails and will be very hard to beat - Nothing in this field would of run the same placing in the Harvey Cup with the same run this horse had)
4. IDOLIZE ME (Good run when winning impressively at Northam - Comes to town with a decent draw and if it can find the front again, It can run a big race - Lead will be all important and theres a little speed underneath it but not to much)
7. PAPARAZZI MAC (Forget its last run - Galloped in the run and just couldn't get back into it - Previous form very good and on that basis is a good each way chance - Awkward Draw but was winning after tough runs - Should be there in the finish)
12. MAGICAL MONTY (Ran home strongly behind James Morrison at Narrogin last Wednesday and is very consistent - Should be running home strong again)
Race 4.
11. WESTWIND RENEGADE (Very impressive at Narrogin when winning from the breeze - Ran away from them and looked to have done it easy. This is a wide open race, but if this horse puts in a run like last start I expect it to go very close - Go Well)
12. TUAPEKA TIZ (Went across the line looking for a run last friday behind Ohoka Samson - Form has always been consistent and has each way claims in this field)
7. ZANARDI (Fired up last start over 2100m and won well but if it were to Fire up again - It would be doom for this horses chances over the longer trip - Appeared sluggish earlier in the campaign, You'll be betting on it not firing up)
8. DREAM GUEST (Past 2 wins good in standing start company - Only start in a mobile in WA it galloped and was retired from the race - Awkward Draw and has claims but giving it a miss tonight)
Race 5.
8. TSUNAMI LOMBO (Resuming from a spell - Form good in open company last time in and has to be one of the hardest to beat in this - Watch the market moves for more of a guide - Keep Safe)
2. COUNTRY CHANGE (Been racing well and is well and truely ready to win - From the draw should be able to work to the lead and then be hard to beat - Smoking Again handed up after pressure is previous 2 runs against this horse but in a weaker field may be a different story)
7. MISTER ODDS ON (Ran home well last start off a soft trip and has an each way chance in this race)
11. BULLETS AND BLUFF (Does his best racing in front and will not find the front here - So unless they go mad - His chances are filling the place at best)
Race 6.
8. ALZONA (Drop down in class helps and looks very hard to beat - Love this company and looks the goods in this)
9. MOTU TREASURE (Talented horse but has plenty of kinks in his chain - First start in a stand might settle him and with a safe beginning has a good chance - Plenty of unknowns here)
2. PACIFIC BLACK (Would of won last start but locked wheels inside the last 100m and was hampered to 3rd behind Salliwood - If it were to lead it would be hard to catch but has been abit slow away in previous stands)
3. HIRLI BIRLI LOMBO (Went huge when 4th to Smart Cullen after sitting 3 wide the Journey since then hasn't really flattered - Place chance in this tough field)
Race 7.
12. PABLITO (Ran a big race at huge odds in the Pacing Cup consalation - Galloped last run so forget about that run - A reproduced run from 2 weeks ago will see this horse go close)
9. AUSSIE REACTOR (Previous few starts have been very good over the longer trips and is back to 2100m, wont worry him to much but he looked to have been suited better of 2500-2900m - Wide draw will be tough and wouldn't be taking short odds in this wide open race)
8. ALBERT JACCKA (Hit the line well in the Pacing Cup when 9th to Im Themightyquinn - Will appreciate this class and is a solid chance even from the wide draw - Keep Safe)
7. CAN RETURN FIRE (Sprinted up strongly and battled on well when 4th in the Harvey Cup behind Lombo Navigator - Wouldn't be suprised Lewis put a few good ones on the rump and try to cross the weaker horses to his inside - Has to be respected)
Race 8.
2. PACIFIC JACCKA (Should find the front here and does her best racing in the lead - Will be hard to run down and could be each way odds)
3. ELLA SUE (Never got into it last run when 7th to Miss Azooma who just ran along - Will be up near the leaders and cannot be taken lightly)
8. ELENA S (Been unlucky as of late - Was going to go close before G.Williams was dislodged on the home turn - Has to overcome wide draw but more than capable)
9. LITTLE BIG SISTER (Would be close to favourite on best form but last run was horrible - Had a freshen up and look for a forward showing)
Race 9.
8. CONTE CENTOVALLI (Last run was good beaten narrowly to Ohoka Samson and is a good standing start horse - Go very close in this race)
10. OCTOBER SON (Last 2 runs been quite solid and looks a danger to the top pick with the right run - Could be a quinnella opportunity)
2. HELENA STREET (Solid stand form last time in - Trial at Pinjarra very good after setting the pace - Should find the front and be a cheeky chance at each way odds - Worth a ticket each way)
5. GONE TO CARLTON (Beaten by what I honestly thought was a horse destined to run 2nd for the rest of its career in Buster Armbro - Still not a bad run and previous form good and has a chance here)
Race 10.
6. RED SUCCESS (Will be humming out the gate and J.T.Warwick will say catch me if you can - She has excelled since entering the genius' stable - 1.55 winning at Bunbury 1.56. in the no race at Pinjarra - If it finds the front will be very hard to catch)
2. MAGUINESS (Expect a forward showing - Was disappointing on face value at Narrogin, won a trial untouched in slow time and from the draw has a place chance)
11. BETA CRUSA (Was backwards when tapes released in its first up run - Galloped in the run last start after a gear malfunction - Expect a forward showing here)
7. SECRET STONE (From the draw place chances look his best chance)
Best Bet : R1. N3. SEEL N PRINT
Best E/W : R4. N11. WESTWIND RENEGADE
Best Roughie : R6. N2. PACIFIC BLACK
Quaddie
1L : 7,11,12
2L : 2,4,8
3L : 2,8,9
4L : 7,8,9,12
$72 FOR HALF UNIT (Flexi it up)
good mixture of roughies in there as well which i like.... it is all about the value combined with those race where the fat lady is already singing!!!! :P