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Belmont Preview, 7th Jun
West Australian Racing
PerthTurfTalk
3,054 posts
R1. Ld Total Handicap - Scott Embry
Nothing much separates these Saturday stayers and most of them meet for the third time in a row with a couple of newcomers. Drive West stepping up in class, Destroy getting back out to a journey and Fancy Feet testing the waters before heading to the paddock and chasing a Perth Cup tilt. Last time out on a very wet, rainy, miserable day Peck took the entire length of the straight to get past Operational and nailed him on the line, O'Grady grabbing the winners cheque by a Willy Pike nose. Ora Dare was forced to sit back in that race, pull out wide from the 600m and struggled to pick up the leaders as they sprint finishing 1.5 lengths behind them. Meets Peck 1.5kg better at the weights and with an extra 100m, a rain free day, a more even track and a more genuine tempo I think he can get the better of his stablemate. A stayer on the rise and the one I'm going with in the first. Fancy Feet won convincingly second up from a spell, ridden like the winner a long way from home by Parnham she shot clear over the final stages in a true staying test. This is tougher but I expect her to make the step up and be more than competitive in this class on the 54kg minimum. Peck is a last start winner and racing well, Operational meets him 1kg better having been beaten a nose and The Other Harv will appreciate a dry track. Nice little race to kick things off.
4. ORA DARE - 7. FANCY FEET - 2. PECK
SUGGESTED BET - 4. ORA DARE $30 x $30
Nothing much separates these Saturday stayers and most of them meet for the third time in a row with a couple of newcomers. Drive West stepping up in class, Destroy getting back out to a journey and Fancy Feet testing the waters before heading to the paddock and chasing a Perth Cup tilt. Last time out on a very wet, rainy, miserable day Peck took the entire length of the straight to get past Operational and nailed him on the line, O'Grady grabbing the winners cheque by a Willy Pike nose. Ora Dare was forced to sit back in that race, pull out wide from the 600m and struggled to pick up the leaders as they sprint finishing 1.5 lengths behind them. Meets Peck 1.5kg better at the weights and with an extra 100m, a rain free day, a more even track and a more genuine tempo I think he can get the better of his stablemate. A stayer on the rise and the one I'm going with in the first. Fancy Feet won convincingly second up from a spell, ridden like the winner a long way from home by Parnham she shot clear over the final stages in a true staying test. This is tougher but I expect her to make the step up and be more than competitive in this class on the 54kg minimum. Peck is a last start winner and racing well, Operational meets him 1kg better having been beaten a nose and The Other Harv will appreciate a dry track. Nice little race to kick things off.
4. ORA DARE - 7. FANCY FEET - 2. PECK
SUGGESTED BET - 4. ORA DARE $30 x $30
Comments
Chinetti was dominant first up defeating Arcadia Rose by almost 2 lengths in a slick 57.42. Last preparation Chinetti knocked off Thateldo at his third career start to give him an imposing 3-0 record. Suffered Cardiac Arrhythmia in the Magic Millions and was tipped out for a spell. Has returned in style and does have $120 000 worth of runs on the board. While he conceeds Sujet 4kg he has race fitness on his side and these two should produce a ripping finish. Sujet has opened at $1.60 which is extremely short for what is after all a maiden galloper, however, every race goer has heard whispers about just how good the Miller camp think he is. Likely to lead from barrier 1 and will certainly take some catching but I'd rather be looking at $1.40 the place for Chinetti than $1.60 the win for Sujet if I'm going to take the short odds. The most popular quinella since Balmont Girl - Real Love in the Oaks and they do look set to gap the rest. Mystical Miss has her first start for Simon Miller and Pike remains aboard should get a lovely pull into the race behind the leaders. Miss Santa Fe was impressive as a 2 year old and with natural growth and improvement should make a nice 3 year old. Sticking with the 'value' of the two runners and locking in Chinetti.
1. CHINETTI - 7. SUJET - 5. MYSTICAL MISS
SUGGESTED BET - 1. CHINETTI $20 x $20
Initially I had Keysbrook on top due to the 2.5kg weight swing he had over Top Show, however, that may well prove not to be the case. There will be a riding change aboard Top Show after, pardon the unnecessary pun, Steve Parnham copped a Power Punch at Pinjarra on Thursday, leaving him with a suspected broken cheek bone. Should the replacement rider be a claiming apprentice, such as a Pateman/Paterson or Cockram then the weight swing becomes negligible and I'm back aboard Top Show. Both fillies have been super impressive at their past couple of runs and should be clashing again side by side for a long time in the straight. Expecting Fathing Fast to improve with the addition of blinkers and being allowed to settle in a more midfield position as opposed to leading and finish close to the winner. Myboypaul is shooting for a winning hat-trick and with another gun barrier drawn should give supporters a good sight. West Brom could again give cheek if Staples is allowed to pinch a couple of cheap sectionals out in front.
2. TOP SHOW - 7. KEYSBROOK - 6. FATHING FAST
SUGGESTED BET - 2. TOP SHOW $20
Adam Durrant nearly sent Tower of Lonhro on the truck back to Broome for a second season in the hands of part owner and North-West trainer Rob Gulberti after failing twice in midweek company but he has since put it together and looks a good chance to score a second Saturday win after getting simply too far back to reel in Fancy Feet over the mile on a rain affected track last start. Drops back to 1400m, the same distance where he beat Fashion Princess by a length. For those with a decent memory you'll recall that Pike got caught in some serious traffic that day and was held up until late in the race, drawn barrier 1 there is a fair chance that she could be looking at a few sets of heels as they round the corner. Now Pike proved me wrong last week when he got Elite Belle off the fence from barrier 1 before they swung the bend and guided her to a soft victory but don't be surprised to see a typical Mailman rant after the 4th should he find trouble. Black Magic Miss steps up to a mile for the first time in her career and it'll be interesting to see how she handles the trip. Always hits a flat spot at the 600 and gets going late, generally the mark of a stayer so considering this is the one time I have tipped against her she'll win. Looking Ahead was a nice first up run fresh over the unsuitable 1200m and will appreciate the additional ground.
3. TOWER OF LONHRO - 4. FASHION PRINCESS (NZ) - 9. BLACK MAGIC MISS
SUGGESTED BET - 3. TOWER OF LONHRO $25 x $25
Ben Paterson is just a handful of wins away from losing his claim, should he win in the first aboard Ora Dare and who knows, maybe even a pick up ride on Top Show (hint, hint Nev) this could be the race to see him graduate from claiming apprenticeship. Zedfire Express looks one of the better bets on the card, was dominant first up and they certainly didn't forget to back her either, scoring a soft win by over 2 lengths. Found Chinetti a little too good last start but had excuses, racing wide throughout, a consequence of a nightmare barrier draw. Gets all the favours here from barrier 1 and with Its A Merc drawn to her inside should be able to position up outside the leader or potentially take advantage of a sit in Richie Bell's favourite spot "one out, one back". Forgiving her last run has a very imposing strike rate. Sticking with the other 3 year olds in the first leg of the quaddie and going for Matching Motors ahead of Bells Tower. Matching Motors has put in three very handy efforts behind quality opposition and battled on well last start behind Prohurst Express after settling unusually close to the speed. Logic would say Brad Parnham replaces his injured brother but I'd be more than happy to see W.Pike pick up the mount. With a solid top end speed expected he should get a lovely run in behind them. Bells Tower is the other youngster in this and looks to have his fair share of ability. Warm up trial was excellent and then was forced to do a lot of work first up before fading.
6. ZEDFIRE EXPRESS - 11. MATCHING MOTORS - 10. BELLS TOWER
SUGGESTED BET - 6. ZEDFIRE EXPRESS $40 x $40
Mooonsearch looks the value runner in the penultimate at around the $10 mark. Ran a very nice race fresh over 1000m and steps straight up to 1400 which should be more to his liking. Yet to miss the money at this distance or this track or second up, he appeals on an eachway basis. Troy Turner sticks with Moonsearch and jumps off last start winner and favourite, Bayatorio. Replaced in the saddle by Pike, so Brett Pope certainly hasn't lost anything there, but a 3kg weight rise should make things interesting. Step Right Up finished runner-up by a neck and meets Bayatorio 4kg better at the scales. Studio Fifty Four knocked off Wayside by a head and Shilling subsequently knocked Wayside off by a long neck. Proceedwithcaution shot up along the cutaway for an impressive last start victory but Noske probably won't get that luck again here. Moet Me returns to 3 year old company after finding the older opposition a little nippy. Almost anything can win here but I'm happy to be aboard Moonsearch.
1. MOONSEARCH - 7. STUDIO FIFTY FOUR (NZ) - 4. BAYATORIO
SUGGESTED BET - 1. MOONSEARCH $10 x $20
Some seriously good form lines clashing in the final event of the day. Dominating savaged the line first up coming from well off the speed to finish second and with the superior barrier draw and Jim Taylor electing to claim on Thateldo I think Parnham has the 4 year old Snitzel gelding poised to strike. Thateldo is obviously hard to beat, winning strike rate of 50% and yet to miss the money in his career. Trading Day was first across the line last start before being denied in the stewards room, the horse doesn?t know that so in his mind it's 4 wins on the bounce. Fiddlers Elbow is another who is yet to miss the cash in his career and does pick up a nice little 3.5kg weight advantage on Trading Day from their encounter last week. He beat Thateldo last preparation and will be well in the market. I've thrown Inok in the mix, he loves 1200m, will press forward and try to lead, has finished within 2 lengths of Thateldo, Fiddlers Elbow and Trading Day and is capable of being the blow-out result in the last. Tiger Pete is undefeated second up and a winner of 5 from 13 at Belmont, $13 is a big price for the Wolfe trained son of Shovhog. They look the 6 for me to finish the day.
5. DOMINATING - 13. FIDDLERS ELBOW - 11. INOK (NZ)
" Now Pike proved me wrong last week when he got Elite Belle off the fence from barrier 1 before they swung the bend and guided her to a soft victory but don't be surprised to see a typical Mailman rant after the 4th should he find trouble"
I'm hoping PUNTA still have their horses who owe you money promotion on again because I dropped a couple of green coloured notes on Gladstone last start and had my fingers burnt (then again on Trading Day but don't get me started on that). Three impressive runs without a win, this is Gladstone's last chance for me this preparation on the 7 day back-up dropping in distance to 1400. Drawn awkwardly again but the funny looking grey gelding tends to get back in running anyway so heres hoping Whiting can avoid the traffic which has cost him victory at his past 3. Trade Down ran well first up in the same race as Gladstone behind Fashion Princess, meets him a half kilo better at the weights, should have improved fitness wise and is the logical danger to the favourite. Dabang, half sister to Fancy Feet is a chance to skip to the front and lead the other 3 year old Long Over Due, carries only 52kg of Ellie Cockram and will probably look to steal the race as she did at Ascot back in March. Busimiss might surprise a few, looking for improvement at odds.
3. GLADSTONE - 5. TRADE DOWN - 12. DABANG
SUGGESTED BET - 3. GLADSTONE $70
Pretty sure I'll back 8 winners. :(|)
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:-/
3rd up over 2200m...sorry, not for me.
ora dare looks a monty at the weights...$3.40 looks a gift.
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Race 2 #1 Chinetti
Race 3 #7 Keysbrook
Race 4 #2 Verdello Blue
Race 5 #4 Hurritdanz
Race 6 #9 Mcare
Race 7 #12 Step Right Up
Race 8 #1 Lukes Luck
What do you think is the safest bet of the day?
Quinella in Race 2? Chinetti and Sujet.
1. 2. PECK
2. 4. MISS SANTA FE
3. 7. KEYSBROOK
4. 3. TOWER OF LONHRO
5. 6. ZEDFIRE EXPRESS
6. 3. GLADSTONE
7. 11. SHILLING
8. 13. FIDDLERS ELBOW
Rc2- Miss Santa Fe
Rc3- Fathing Fast
Rc4- Black Magic Miss
Rc5- Zedfire Express/ Playhouse Theatre
Rc6- Hussation/ Fonzarelli
Rc7- Terror Force/ Studio Fifty Four
Rc8- Tiger Pete/ Fiddlers Elbow
Brizzy Rc5- Platinum Rocker.
Tough finish to the day.
As long as you don't put those in your last leg you should be winning, as I have a shocking record for quaddies.
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